I always laugh at the public mentality that gets a wide range of people behaving like those in betting shops…
Eg. They have no imagination to back anything but one of the top three fancies, thinking that anything priced up as an “outsider” cannot possibly get anywhere. Listening to the mutters and curses whilst watching the screwed up betting slips ping around the room after yet another jolly was short-headed by a 20-1 shot that “couldn’t win”, I realise that on the whole, not only are the public idiots, but they don’t learn from their own experiences and mistakes either.
Even in the aftermath of the local elections - there are still Tories banging on about “A vote for UKIP is a vote for Milliband - these results prove it” and of course the inevitable “This translates into zero seats for UKIP next year, because our voting system makes it virtually impossible for anything outside of the top two from winning an election”. There’s no one alive today for example that voted for the Liberals in the last election they actually won. They didn’t become a “third party” in politics - just a “rank outsider”.
Our politicians are keen for us not to have the Australian system where it is compulsory to vote, and illegal to deliberately spoil your ballot paper. Remember the Census? - Those who were going to throw it in the bin (me included) were warned of the “consequences in law” if we did so…
Human nature dictates however that if you FORCE someone to vote that doesn’t really want to, they will ALWAYS cast their vote against the incumbent.
This flies in the face of the normal expectations of “a public that only backs the favourite, because their too bone-idle to do their own research, and actually make an informed choice”.
Sooner or later, the public are going to realise that the three main party leaders are nothing like us. We’ve got a public school toff, an immigrant descendent that still talks funny, and a complete Xenophile that speaks 5 languages, is married to a foreigner, and lets his own kids speak a foreign language around the house.
Compare those three to some guy who likes a drink and a smoke, and wants to be a turkey voting for Christmas - and you begin to see the wider appeal of Farage still to be built upon over the last year before the general election.
There are quite a few disgruntled ex-counsellors that once represented one of the three main parties as of these local elections.
There’s no rule that says they cannot re-take their former seats on a UKIP ticket, since to listen to them, they feel “hard done-by, and that central government has pushed them out”, rather than the public that just didn’t vote for them.